Combat Edge Intelligence

Joji Goto vs Mando Gutierrez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1627 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joji GotoNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Mando GutierrezNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
75%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
40%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Joji GotoMando Gutierrez
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
5 (24%)
Submission
6 (67%)
6 (29%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Joji Goto71%
Mando Gutierrez 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joji Goto a 71% favorite over Mando Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1630), separated by just 0 points.

Joji Goto finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mando Gutierrez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.