Joji Goto vs Mateo Alejandro Vogel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"ReachTBD
134 lbsWeight134 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1650 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joji GotoMateo Alejandro Vogel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joji Goto54%
Mateo Alejandro Vogel 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joji Goto a 54% favorite over Mateo Alejandro Vogel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateo Alejandro Vogel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.
Joji Goto finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mateo Alejandro Vogel 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.