Combat Edge Intelligence

Joji Goto vs Reece McLaren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record19-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68"Reach67"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBoonchu Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joji GotoNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Reece McLarenNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Joji GotoReece McLaren
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
5 (24%)
Submission
9 (47%)
6 (29%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Joji Goto55%
Reece McLaren 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joji Goto a 55% favorite over Reece McLaren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Joji Goto finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Reece McLaren 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.