Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon delos Reyes vs Kyoji Horiguchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record36-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67,0"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
Countershot MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Jon delos Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jon delos ReyesNow 1560
If they win+26→ 1586
If they lose-6→ 1554
Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1800
If they win+5→ 1805
If they lose-19→ 1781

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
38%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
52%
Strike defense
64%
3.20
Takedown avg.
1.61
83%
Takedown accuracy
41%
56%
Takedown defense
61%
1.92
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Jon delos ReyesKyoji Horiguchi
160017001800201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
15 (42%)
5 (63%)
Submission
6 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
15 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyoji Horiguchi92%
Jon delos Reyes 8%Elo baseline: 80%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyoji Horiguchi a 92% favorite over Jon delos Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).

Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1560, a 240-point edge.

Jon delos Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyoji Horiguchi 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.