Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon delos Reyes vs Neil Seery

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Seery
ie

Neil Seery

“2 Tap”

16-13-0FlyweightUFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record16-13-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67,0"Reach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Countershot MMATeamTeam Ryano MMA

What's at stake

Neil Seery is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jon delos Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jon delos ReyesNow 1560
If they win+17→ 1577
If they lose-15→ 1545
Neil SeeryNow 1579
If they win+11→ 1590
If they lose-13→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
52%
Strike defense
59%
3.20
Takedown avg.
0.78
83%
Takedown accuracy
28%
56%
Takedown defense
54%
1.92
Submission avg.
1.55

Trajectory

Jon delos ReyesNeil Seery
15501600201520162017

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
5 (63%)
Submission
6 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon delos Reyes56%
Neil Seery 44%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon delos Reyes a 56% favorite over Neil Seery in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neil Seery's way (47%).

Neil Seery holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1579 to 1560, a 19-point edge.

Neil Seery enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jon delos Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Neil Seery 75%.

Jon delos Reyes and Neil Seery share 1 common opponent: Kyoji Horiguchi.

Jon delos Reyes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2014
Kyoji Horiguchi
LossDEC · 2016