Jon Fitch vs Luigi Fioravanti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-8-2Record26-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight183 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamFlawless MMA
What's at stake
Jon Fitch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Luigi Fioravanti carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1724
If they win+17→ 1603
If they lose-7→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon FitchLuigi Fioravanti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Fitch80%
Luigi Fioravanti 20%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Fitch a 80% favorite over Luigi Fioravanti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Jon Fitch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1586, a 155-point edge.
Luigi Fioravanti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jon Fitch finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Luigi Fioravanti 65%.
Jon Fitch and Luigi Fioravanti share 1 common opponent: Paul Daley.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.