Jon Fitch vs Mike Pierce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
32-8-2Record17-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamSports Lab
What's at stake
Jon Fitch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mike Pierce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1752
If they lose-13→ 1728
If they win+13→ 1728
If they lose-11→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon FitchMike Pierce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Pierce53%
Jon Fitch 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pierce a 53% favorite over Jon Fitch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jon Fitch's way (46%).
Jon Fitch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1715, a 26-point edge.
Mike Pierce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jon Fitch finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pierce 53%.
Jon Fitch and Mike Pierce share 1 common opponent: Rousimar Palhares.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.