Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Fitch vs Muslim Salikhov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-8-2Record22-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach70″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamFighting Eagle

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon FitchNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729
Muslim SalikhovNow 1745
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
51%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
54%
Strike defense
62%
3.64
Takedown avg.
1.07
55%
Takedown accuracy
32%
56%
Takedown defense
72%
0.88
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jon FitchMuslim Salikhov
170017502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (22%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
5 (16%)
Submission
2 (9%)
20 (63%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Salikhov70%
Jon Fitch 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Salikhov a 70% favorite over Jon Fitch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1741 vs 1745), separated by just 4 points.

Jon Fitch finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Salikhov 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.