Jon Hess vs Mac Papalii
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record2-0-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
295 lbsWeight273 lbs
Team QuestTeamBattle Box· 1575 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Mac Papalii is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jon Hess carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1527
If they lose-20→ 1479
If they win+20→ 1575
If they lose-28→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jon HessMac Papalii
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mac Papalii67%
Jon Hess 33%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Mac Papalii a 67% favorite over Jon Hess in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Mac Papalii holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1499, a 56-point edge.
Mac Papalii enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.