Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-1-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
84"Reach 80"
248 lbsWeight234 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Stipe Miocic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1923
If they lose-17→ 1899
If they win+23→ 1788
If they lose-9→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1773 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon JonesStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones84%
Stipe Miocic 16%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 84% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1916 to 1765, a 151-point edge.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jon Jones finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic share 1 common opponent: Daniel Cormier.
Jon Jones carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinNo Contest · 2017
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2015
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
WinTKO · 2019
LossKO/TKO · 2018