Jon Jones vs Vitor Belfort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-1-0Record26-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
84"Reach74,0"
248 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Vitor Belfort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1922
If they lose-18→ 1898
If they win+18→ 1737
If they lose-6→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1773 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon JonesVitor Belfort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones84%
Vitor Belfort 16%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 84% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1916 to 1719, a 197-point edge.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jon Jones finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.
Jon Jones carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.