Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Jones vs Vladimir Matyushenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jon Jones
us

Jon Jones

“Bones”

28-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1917Elite

Tale of the tape

28-1-0Record27-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
84"ReachTBD
248 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamVMAT

What's at stake

Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Vladimir Matyushenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jon JonesNow 1917
If they win+5→ 1922
If they lose-19→ 1898
Vladimir MatyushenkoNow 1684
If they win+19→ 1703
If they lose-5→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1773 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
59%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
64%
Strike defense
60%
1.89
Takedown avg.
2.89
46%
Takedown accuracy
40%
95%
Takedown defense
71%
0.46
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Jon JonesVladimir Matyushenko
1700180019002012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (39%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
7 (25%)
Submission
4 (15%)
10 (36%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Jones83%
Vladimir Matyushenko 17%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 83% favorite over Vladimir Matyushenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1917 to 1684, a 233-point edge.

Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jon Jones finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.

Jon Jones and Vladimir Matyushenko share 1 common opponent: Alexander Gustafsson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2018
Alexander Gustafsson
LossKO/TKO · 2011