Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Koppenhaver vs Maiwand Hamras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Und1sputedTeamFightlab Munich

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon KoppenhaverNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Maiwand HamrasNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
60%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
1.16
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jon KoppenhaverMaiwand Hamras
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (43%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiwand Hamras60%
Jon Koppenhaver 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 60% favorite over Jon Koppenhaver in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1509), separated by just 2 points.

Jon Koppenhaver finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.