Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Kunneman vs Nikolay Aleksakhin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record26-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
77.2"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAlexander Nevsky (Stary Oskol)

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon KunnemanNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Nikolay AleksakhinNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jon KunnemanNikolay Aleksakhin
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
14 (54%)
7 (70%)
Submission
2 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Kunneman60%
Nikolay Aleksakhin 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Kunneman a 60% favorite over Nikolay Aleksakhin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nikolay Aleksakhin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1700), separated by just 3 points.

Jon Kunneman enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Jon Kunneman finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Aleksakhin 62%.

Jon Kunneman carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.