Jon Madsen vs Karlos Vemola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record37-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
222 lbsWeight205 lbs
HIT SquadTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Karlos Vemola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jon Madsen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1645
If they lose-10→ 1613
If they win+8→ 1764
If they lose-16→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karlos Vemola73%
Jon Madsen 27%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Karlos Vemola a 73% favorite over Jon Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Karlos Vemola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1623, a 133-point edge.
Jon Madsen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.