Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Madsen vs Mike Russow

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
222 lbsWeight256 lbs
HIT SquadTeamTBD

What's at stake

Mike Russow is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jon Madsen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jon MadsenNow 1610
If they win+25→ 1635
If they lose-23→ 1587
Mike RussowNow 1631
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.46
Sig. strikes / min
1.55
41%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
81%
Strike defense
60%
1.32
Takedown avg.
4.66
71%
Takedown accuracy
44%
70%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Jon MadsenMike Russow
1600165020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (53%)
4 (50%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Madsen56%
Mike Russow 44%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Madsen a 56% favorite over Mike Russow in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Russow's way (47%).

Mike Russow holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1610, a 21-point edge.

Mike Russow enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jon Madsen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Russow 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.