Jon Madsen vs Mostapha Al Turk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record6-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
222 lbsWeight235 lbs
HIT SquadTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Jon Madsen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mostapha Al Turk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1632
If they lose-23→ 1600
If they win+34→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jon MadsenMostapha Al Turk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Madsen71%
Mostapha Al Turk 29%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Madsen a 71% favorite over Mostapha Al Turk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Jon Madsen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1467, a 156-point edge.
Mostapha Al Turk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jon Madsen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mostapha Al Turk 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.