Jon Manley vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team LinkTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jon Manley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1620
If they lose-9→ 1588
If they win+7→ 1765
If they lose-17→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon ManleyNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny79%
Jon Manley 21%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 79% favorite over Jon Manley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1597, a 161-point edge.
Jon Manley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jon Manley finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.