Combat Edge Intelligence

Jon Tuck vs Magomed Sulumov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jon Tuck
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Jon Tuck

“Super Saiyan”

11-5-0LightweightBFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jon TuckNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Magomed SulumovNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.42
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.97
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jon TuckMagomed Sulumov
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
5 (45%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (9%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sulumov60%
Jon Tuck 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sulumov a 60% favorite over Jon Tuck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jon Tuck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Jon Tuck finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Sulumov 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.