Jon Tuck vs Morquez Forest
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTop Brother
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon TuckMorquez Forest
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morquez Forest66%
Jon Tuck 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Morquez Forest a 66% favorite over Jon Tuck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jon Tuck's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.
Jon Tuck finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Morquez Forest 63%.
Jon Tuck carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.