Jon Tuck vs Takanori Gomi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record35-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73,0"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamKugayama Rascal
What's at stake
Takanori Gomi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jon Tuck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1613
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon TuckTakanori Gomi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Tuck61%
Takanori Gomi 39%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Tuck a 61% favorite over Takanori Gomi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takanori Gomi's way (45%).
Takanori Gomi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1627, a 38-point edge.
Jon Tuck finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Takanori Gomi 57%.
Jon Tuck carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.