Jon Tuck vs Tiequan Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kings MMATeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Jon Tuck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tiequan Zhang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1638
If they lose-21→ 1606
If they win+32→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jon TuckTiequan Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Tuck75%
Tiequan Zhang 25%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Tuck a 75% favorite over Tiequan Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Jon Tuck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1511, a 116-point edge.
Tiequan Zhang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jon Tuck finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Tiequan Zhang 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.