Jon Tuck vs Tiequan Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Jon Tuck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tiequan Zhang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1639
If they lose-21→ 1607
If they win+32→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1491
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jon TuckTiequan Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Tuck65%
Tiequan Zhang 35%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Tuck a 65% favorite over Tiequan Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Jon Tuck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1507, a 121-point edge.
Tiequan Zhang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jon Tuck finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Tiequan Zhang 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.