Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonas Bilharinho vs Roman Puga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-1Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Knockout SquadTeamMMAFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonas BilharinhoNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Roman PugaNow 1625
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
60%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jonas BilharinhoRoman Puga
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (17%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Puga79%
Jonas Bilharinho 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Puga a 79% favorite over Jonas Bilharinho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonas Bilharinho's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Roman Puga enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jonas Bilharinho finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Roman Puga 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.