Jonas Mågård vs Jonathan Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record19-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
72.8"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Redline Training CenterTeamFactory X· avg 1663 Elo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonas MågårdJonathan Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonas Mågård59%
Jonathan Martinez 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonas Mågård a 59% favorite over Jonathan Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan Martinez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.
Jonas Mågård enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jonas Mågård finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Martinez 58%.
Jonas Mågård carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.