Jonas Mågård vs Marwan Rahiki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
72.8"Reach72"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonas MågårdMarwan Rahiki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marwan Rahiki51%
Jonas Mågård 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marwan Rahiki a 51% favorite over Jonas Mågård in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonas Mågård's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.
Jonas Mågård enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jonas Mågård finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marwan Rahiki 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.