Jonas Mågård vs Sergey Morozov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record19-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
72.8"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Redline Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonas MågårdSergey Morozov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonas Mågård66%
Sergey Morozov 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonas Mågård a 66% favorite over Sergey Morozov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1676), separated by just 2 points.
Jonas Mågård enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sergey Morozov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jonas Mågård finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Morozov 58%.
Jonas Mågård carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.