Jonas Mågård vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record39-12-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72.8"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Redline Training CenterTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1701
If they lose-12→ 1677
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonas MågårdShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke56%
Jonas Mågård 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shayilan Nuerdanbieke a 56% favorite over Jonas Mågård in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonas Mågård's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.
Jonas Mågård enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonas Mågård finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 74%.
Jonas Mågård carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.