Jonas Mågård vs Vugar Karamov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record22-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
72.8"Reach70.5"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonas MågårdVugar Karamov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonas Mågård60%
Vugar Karamov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonas Mågård a 60% favorite over Vugar Karamov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vugar Karamov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1689), separated by just 1 points.
Jonas Mågård enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jonas Mågård finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vugar Karamov 76%.
Jonas Mågård carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.