Jonathan David Rivera vs Mark Hominick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan David RiveraMark Hominick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Hominick57%
Jonathan David Rivera 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Hominick a 57% favorite over Jonathan David Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan David Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.
Jonathan David Rivera enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mark Hominick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jonathan David Rivera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hominick 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.