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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan David Rivera vs Nic Ouellet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamPowell River BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan David RiveraNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Nic OuelletNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jonathan David RiveraNic Ouellet
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (71%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Nic Ouellet57%
Jonathan David Rivera 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nic Ouellet a 57% favorite over Jonathan David Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan David Rivera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan David Rivera enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Nic Ouellet enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jonathan David Rivera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nic Ouellet 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.