Jonathan David Rivera vs Thomas Paull
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamTeam Underground MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan David RiveraThomas Paull
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Paull52%
Jonathan David Rivera 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Paull a 52% favorite over Jonathan David Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan David Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan David Rivera enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jonathan David Rivera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Paull 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.