Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Garcia vs Juan Carlos Izquierdo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight139 lbs
Cicero CostaTeamKiofu Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan GarciaNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Juan Carlos IzquierdoNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jonathan GarciaJuan Carlos Izquierdo
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
3 (60%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (20%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Garcia51%
Juan Carlos Izquierdo 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Garcia a 51% favorite over Juan Carlos Izquierdo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Carlos Izquierdo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1584), separated by just 2 points.

Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Juan Carlos Izquierdo 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.