Jonathan Garcia vs Kevin Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record17-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach44.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cicero CostaTeamDS Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan GarciaKevin Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Garcia62%
Kevin Souza 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Garcia a 62% favorite over Kevin Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Souza 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.