Jonathan Garcia vs Mathieu Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan GarciaMathieu Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Garcia52%
Mathieu Greco 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Garcia a 52% favorite over Mathieu Greco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mathieu Greco's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.