Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Garcia vs Mathieu Greco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cicero CostaTeamBali MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan GarciaNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Mathieu GrecoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jonathan GarciaMathieu Greco
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
3 (60%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jonathan Garcia and Mathieu Greco within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.

Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.