Jonathan Garcia vs Tyson Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cicero CostaTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan GarciaTyson Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Garcia62%
Tyson Griffin 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Garcia a 62% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyson Griffin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jonathan Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.