Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Goulet vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-12-0Record23-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight153 lbs
Team LegionTeamMaster Japan

What's at stake

Kuniyoshi Hironaka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Goulet carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jonathan GouletNow 1553
If they win+17→ 1570
If they lose-7→ 1546
Kuniyoshi HironakaNow 1711
If they win+7→ 1718
If they lose-17→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.13
46%
Strike defense
55%
4.17
Takedown avg.
2.60
70%
Takedown accuracy
32%
45%
Takedown defense
25%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Jonathan GouletKuniyoshi Hironaka
15501600165017002008200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
7 (30%)
8 (35%)
Submission
8 (35%)
3 (13%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Kuniyoshi Hironaka80%
Jonathan Goulet 20%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Kuniyoshi Hironaka a 80% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Kuniyoshi Hironaka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1553, a 158-point edge.

Jonathan Goulet finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Kuniyoshi Hironaka 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.