Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Goulet vs Marcus Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcus Davis
us

Marcus Davis

“The Irish Hand Grenade”

23-11-0WelterweightPFC

1655Good

Tale of the tape

23-12-0Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team LegionTeamTeam Irish

What's at stake

Marcus Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Goulet carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jonathan GouletNow 1553
If they win+15→ 1568
If they lose-9→ 1544
Marcus DavisNow 1655
If they win+9→ 1664
If they lose-15→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
46%
Strike defense
66%
4.17
Takedown avg.
1.60
70%
Takedown accuracy
48%
45%
Takedown defense
48%
0.60
Submission avg.
1.37

Trajectory

Jonathan GouletMarcus Davis
15501600165020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
6 (26%)
8 (35%)
Submission
10 (43%)
3 (13%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus Davis57%
Jonathan Goulet 43%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Davis a 57% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Marcus Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1553, a 102-point edge.

Jonathan Goulet finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Davis 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.