Jonathan Goulet vs Mike Swick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team LegionTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Goulet carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1570
If they lose-7→ 1546
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-22→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan GouletMike Swick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Swick78%
Jonathan Goulet 22%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 78% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1553, a 145-point edge.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Goulet finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.
Jonathan Goulet and Mike Swick share 1 common opponent: Marcus Davis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.