Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Goulet vs Mohamed Ado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-12-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach76.5"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team LegionTeam613 Fight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan GouletNow 1553
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541
Mohamed AdoNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
4.17
Takedown avg.
TBD
70%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
45%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.60
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jonathan GouletMohamed Ado
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
8 (35%)
Submission
4 (67%)
3 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohamed Ado67%
Jonathan Goulet 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohamed Ado a 67% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1554), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Goulet finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mohamed Ado 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.