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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Goulet vs Mouhamed Ba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mouhamed Ba
sn

Mouhamed Ba

“The Black Lion”

3-1-0WelterweightPFL

1552Solid

Tale of the tape

23-12-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team LegionTeamTriple MMA Dubai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan GouletNow 1553
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541
Mouhamed BaNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
4.17
Takedown avg.
Not available
70%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
45%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.60
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jonathan GouletMouhamed Ba
15501600200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
8 (35%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Goulet62%
Mouhamed Ba 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Goulet a 62% favorite over Mouhamed Ba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Goulet finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mouhamed Ba 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.