Jonathan Goulet vs Paul Georgieff
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team LegionTeam
What's at stake
Paul Georgieff is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Goulet carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1566
If they lose-11→ 1542
If they win+21→ 1612
If they lose-27→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1472 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan GouletPaul Georgieff
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Georgieff56%
Jonathan Goulet 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Georgieff a 56% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Paul Georgieff holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1553, a 38-point edge.
Jonathan Goulet finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Paul Georgieff 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.