Jonathan Hanes vs Jordan Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach 75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fitness QuestTeamNor-Cal Fighting Alliance
What's at stake
Jordan Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Hanes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1560
If they lose-15→ 1528
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-17→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan HanesJordan Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Hanes70%
Jordan Williams 30%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Hanes a 70% favorite over Jordan Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jordan Williams's way (46%).
Jordan Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1572 to 1543, a 29-point edge.
Jordan Williams enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Hanes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Williams 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.