Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Hanes vs Josh McDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fitness QuestTeamFairtex Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan HanesNow 1543
If they win+16→ 1559
If they lose-16→ 1527
Josh McDonaldNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
TBD
Strike defense
34%
TBD
Takedown avg.
9
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jonathan HanesJosh McDonald
14501500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (33%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Hanes60%
Josh McDonald 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Hanes a 60% favorite over Josh McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1541), separated by just 2 points.

Jonathan Hanes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Josh McDonald 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.