Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Hanes vs Renato Verissimo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record7-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fitness QuestTeamBJ Penn's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan HanesNow 1543
If they win+16→ 1559
If they lose-16→ 1527
Renato VerissimoNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.87
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.55

Trajectory

Jonathan HanesRenato Verissimo
14501500155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
1 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Hanes60%
Renato Verissimo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Hanes a 60% favorite over Renato Verissimo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1541), separated by just 2 points.

Jonathan Hanes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Renato Verissimo 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.