Jonathan Martin vs Tumelo Manyamala
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionFlyweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71.5"Reach70.5"
155 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MartinTumelo Manyamala
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jonathan Martin and Tumelo Manyamala within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Jonathan Martin finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tumelo Manyamala 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.