Jonathan Martin vs Wilson Lopshire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record7-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71.5"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
Wilson Lopshire is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1612
If they lose-15→ 1580
If they win+22→ 1648
If they lose-26→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MartinWilson Lopshire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jonathan Martin and Wilson Lopshire within a point of even.
Wilson Lopshire holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1595, a 31-point edge.
Jonathan Martin finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Lopshire 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.