Jonathan Martin vs Wilson Lopshire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record7-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71.5"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Carolina Combat Sports and FitnessTeam Garra Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
Wilson Lopshire is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1624
If they lose-14→ 1592
If they win+20→ 1678
If they lose-28→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MartinWilson Lopshire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wilson Lopshire60%
Jonathan Martin 40%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Wilson Lopshire a 60% favorite over Jonathan Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Wilson Lopshire holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1606, a 52-point edge.
Wilson Lopshire enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Jonathan Martin finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Lopshire 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.