Jonathan Martinez vs Marcus McGhee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record12-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Marcus McGhee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1664
If they win+14→ 1732
If they lose-18→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MartinezMarcus McGhee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus McGhee65%
Jonathan Martinez 35%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 65% favorite over Jonathan Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marcus McGhee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1678, a 40-point edge.
Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcus McGhee enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.