Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Martinez vs Marcus McGhee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Marcus McGhee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+17→ 1695
If they lose-15→ 1663
Marcus McGheeNow 1704
If they win+15→ 1719
If they lose-17→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
5.50
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
57%
Strike defense
58%
0.38
Takedown avg.
0.31
36%
Takedown accuracy
14%
68%
Takedown defense
90%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jonathan MartinezMarcus McGhee
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
2 (11%)
Submission
1 (9%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus McGhee66%
Jonathan Martinez 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 66% favorite over Jonathan Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Marcus McGhee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1678, a 26-point edge.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.