Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Martinez vs Pingyuan Liu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record15-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach72,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

Jonathan Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Pingyuan Liu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1660
Pingyuan LiuNow 1634
If they win+18→ 1652
If they lose-14→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
50%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
57%
Strike defense
54%
0.38
Takedown avg.
0.25
36%
Takedown accuracy
20%
68%
Takedown defense
56%
0.08
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Jonathan MartinezPingyuan Liu
165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
2 (11%)
Submission
6 (40%)
8 (42%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Martinez60%
Pingyuan Liu 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Martinez a 60% favorite over Pingyuan Liu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jonathan Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1634, a 44-point edge.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Pingyuan Liu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Pingyuan Liu 67%.

Pingyuan Liu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.