Combat Edge Intelligence

Jonathan Martinez vs Raphael Uchegbu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeam4 Corner Combat Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Raphael UchegbuNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.38
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jonathan MartinezRaphael Uchegbu
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
2 (11%)
Submission
5 (45%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Raphael Uchegbu67%
Jonathan Martinez 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Uchegbu a 67% favorite over Jonathan Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1680), separated by just 2 points.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Uchegbu 82%.

Raphael Uchegbu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.