Jonathan Martinez vs Said Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 rated
What's at stake
Said Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1697
If they lose-13→ 1665
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Said Nurmagomedov63%
Jonathan Martinez 37%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 63% favorite over Jonathan Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Said Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1678, a 55-point edge.
Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jonathan Martinez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.